Streaming Media

Type of Proposal

Oral presentation

Start Date

31-3-2017 1:00 PM

End Date

31-3-2017 2:00 PM

Faculty

Faculty of Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences

Faculty Sponsor

Ken Cramer, Psychology

Abstract

Cramer and Jackson (2006, 2007) report a sizable association between the home game winner of the most recent Washington Redskins professional football game and the presidential election outcome. With only two exceptions, the events were perfectly linked since the 1936 inception of the football franchise. This paper offers an update to those results, now incorporating the 2008, 2012, and 2016 election results. This paper will offer instructors a useful vehicle to understanding correlations, to further show that correlation is not causation, but more importantly to illustrate that robust phenomena in the world may have no underlying cause. Furthermore, we believe that the relation between these two events represents a shortcoming in post-hoc reasoning, by trying to explain events after they have been observed.

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Mar 31st, 1:00 PM Mar 31st, 2:00 PM

Football and Federal Elections: Real World Statistics in Action

Cramer and Jackson (2006, 2007) report a sizable association between the home game winner of the most recent Washington Redskins professional football game and the presidential election outcome. With only two exceptions, the events were perfectly linked since the 1936 inception of the football franchise. This paper offers an update to those results, now incorporating the 2008, 2012, and 2016 election results. This paper will offer instructors a useful vehicle to understanding correlations, to further show that correlation is not causation, but more importantly to illustrate that robust phenomena in the world may have no underlying cause. Furthermore, we believe that the relation between these two events represents a shortcoming in post-hoc reasoning, by trying to explain events after they have been observed.