Date of Award


Publication Type

Master Thesis

Degree Name



Social Work


Sociology, Criminology and Penology.


Phipps, Alan,




A casino is often assumed to be an irresistible target for motivated offenders because it attracts a large number of tourists. The current study is an inferential time-series analysis of crime in which space (distance from a casino) serves as a measure of capable guardianship. Person, disorder and property offence rates constitute the dependent variables. Conducted with data on eight enumeration areas in Windsor, Ontario, for the period between January 1993 and December 2001, the current study attempts to answer two main questions regarding crime in Canada: (1) What effects do physical and socioeconomic structures have on subcity-level crime rates? (2) Are these effects causal, spurious or null? In addition to ordinary least-squares regression models, bivariate cross-correlations and multivariate linear ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) models are tested. Marginal support is found for both routine activity and social disorganization theories. The importance of methodology and crime categorization is suggested. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)Dept. of Sociology and Anthropology. Paper copy at Leddy Library: Theses & Major Papers - Basement, West Bldg. / Call Number: Thesis2002 .L66. Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 42-02, page: 0480. Adviser: Alan Phipps. Thesis (M.A.)--University of Windsor (Canada), 2002.