Date of Award

5-28-2024

Publication Type

Thesis

Degree Name

M.A.Sc.

Department

Electrical and Computer Engineering

Keywords

Machine Learning;Time Series Analysis

Supervisor

Mohammad Hassanzadeh

Supervisor

Majid Ahmadi

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Abstract

This research examines the impact of COVID-19 policies on death rates across Canadian provinces, considering geographical, cultural, economic, and healthcare disparities. It analyzes the effectiveness of these policies over time, hypothesizing that their impact varies and that only certain measures are effective. The study uses both traditional methods, like Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Granger Causality, and modern techniques, like eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XG- Boost), to assess policy effectiveness. This approach goes beyond binary evaluations by quantifying the strength of policy impacts. By comparing these methods, the research identifies the most effective strategies for evidence-based decision-making. Focusing on provincial-level data, the study aims to provide insights that are crucial for immediate policy decisions and future pandemic preparedness, contributing to a comprehensive understanding of effective pandemic response strategies and enhancing Canada’s resilience to health crises.

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